Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.003947 0.004143 0.004344 0.004566 0.004804 0.005053 0.005331
2025-10-26 0.003592 0.003881 0.004189 0.004544 0.004942 0.005378 0.005892
2025-11-02 0.003358 0.003698 0.004070 0.004511 0.005022 0.005600 0.006308
2025-11-09 0.003245 0.003630 0.004062 0.004586 0.005211 0.005938 0.006859
2025-11-16 0.003092 0.003502 0.003971 0.004551 0.005258 0.006101 0.007199
2025-11-23 0.002976 0.003409 0.003911 0.004544 0.005331 0.006291 0.007574
2025-11-30 0.002846 0.003289 0.003811 0.004480 0.005325 0.006376 0.007814
2025-12-07 0.002734 0.003187 0.003727 0.004427 0.005327 0.006467 0.008059
2025-12-14 0.002656 0.003121 0.003682 0.004419 0.005382 0.006625 0.008400
2025-12-21 0.002528 0.002988 0.003548 0.004292 0.005275 0.006562 0.008429
2025-12-28 0.002473 0.002945 0.003524 0.004303 0.005349 0.006740 0.008801
2026-01-04 0.002438 0.002924 0.003527 0.004349 0.005468 0.006984 0.009280
2026-01-11 0.002371 0.002861 0.003476 0.004321 0.005488 0.007092 0.009568
2026-01-18 0.002311 0.002806 0.003431 0.004301 0.005515 0.007211 0.009879
2026-01-25 0.002252 0.002748 0.003381 0.004271 0.005527 0.007306 0.010157
2026-02-01 0.002235 0.002746 0.003404 0.004340 0.005681 0.007615 0.010786
2026-02-08 0.002180 0.002692 0.003356 0.004307 0.005686 0.007701 0.011063
2026-02-15 0.002138 0.002653 0.003327 0.004301 0.005729 0.007844 0.011440
2026-02-22 0.002079 0.002590 0.003262 0.004241 0.005689 0.007859 0.011602
2026-03-01 0.002027 0.002535 0.003206 0.004192 0.005664 0.007893 0.011797
2026-03-08 0.001992 0.002502 0.003181 0.004185 0.005700 0.008025 0.012169
2026-03-15 0.001920 0.002417 0.003081 0.004068 0.005563 0.007875 0.012033
2026-03-22 0.001894 0.002395 0.003069 0.004078 0.005624 0.008045 0.012478